Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons
Game Date: Sunday, October 9, 2011 | Game Time: 8:30 PM | Home Line: 5.5 | Total: 53.0
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

The Green Bay Packers travel to Atlanta to play the Falcons at 8:30 PM on Sunday, October 9, 2011. Atlanta is the underdog in this matchup, getting 5.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 53.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let’s have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Packers/Falcons Series
January 15, 2011 Green Bay 48 Atlanta 21 -1.0 43.0
November 28, 2010 Green Bay 17 Atlanta 20 -1.0 47.0
October 5, 2008 Atlanta 27 Green Bay 24 -4.0 144.5
August 19, 2006 Atlanta 10 Green Bay 38
November 13, 2005 Green Bay 33 Atlanta 25
August 9, 2003 Green Bay 27 Atlanta 21
January 4, 2003 Atlanta 27 Green Bay 7
September 8, 2002 Atlanta 34 Green Bay 37
November 18, 2001 Atlanta 23 Green Bay 20
December 18, 1994 Atlanta 17 Green Bay 21

When looking at the last 15 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 9 games compared to 6 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Green Bay/Atlanta series is 24.9 ppg while the vistor has put up 23 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.9 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 15 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.9 ppg. That represents a value number of 7.4 when meassured against the offered line of 5.5, suggesting a wager on Atlanta makes the most sense – at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 15 games between the Packers and the Falcons is 47.9 per game. That creates a differential of 5.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 53.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let’s take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Green Bay as the road team and with Atlanta as the home team.
Recent Results when Green Bay visits Atlanta
January 15, 2011 Green Bay 48 Atlanta 21 -1.0 43.0
November 28, 2010 Green Bay 17 Atlanta 20 -1.0 47.0
November 13, 2005 Green Bay 33 Atlanta 25
August 9, 2003 Green Bay 27 Atlanta 21
October 4, 1992 Green Bay 10 Atlanta 24
November 24, 1991 Green Bay 31 Atlanta 35
October 30, 1988 Green Bay 0 Atlanta 20

When looking at the last 7 games in this series while Atlanta has been the home team, we can see the Falcons have won 4 games compared to 3 wins for the Packers. Average points scored per game by Atlanta in this situation is is 23.7 ppg while Green Bay has put up 23.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0 favoring the Falcons.

Unlike most series’, this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 0 ppg. That represents a value number of 5.5 when meassured against the offered line of 5.5, suggesting a wager on the Falcons makes the most sense. At least, that’s the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 7 games between the Packers and the Falcons is 47.4 per game. That creates a differential of 5.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 53.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Can the Green Bay Packers Cover the Spread?

This season the Green Bay Packers have played 4 games, averaging 37.0 points per game, while allowing 24.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-0. Let’s have a closer look at recent Green Bay Packers results.
Recent Green Bay Packers Results
October 2, 2011 Denver 23 Green Bay 49 -12.5 46.0
September 25, 2011 Green Bay 27 Chicago 17 4.0 45.5
September 18, 2011 Green Bay 30 Carolina 23 10.0 44.5
September 8, 2011 New Orleans 34 Green Bay 42 -4.5 47.5
February 6, 2011 Pittsburgh 25 Green Bay 31 -3.0 44.5
January 23, 2011 Green Bay 21 Chicago 14 3.5 42.5
January 15, 2011 Green Bay 48 Atlanta 21 -1.0 43.0

This season the Green Bay Packers have played 2 games on the road, averaging 28.5 points per game, while allowing 20.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-0. Let’s have a closer look at recent Green Bay Packers results on the road.
Recent Green Bay Packers Road Results
September 25, 2011 Green Bay 27 Chicago 17 4.0 45.5
September 18, 2011 Green Bay 30 Carolina 23 10.0 44.5
January 23, 2011 Green Bay 21 Chicago 14 3.5 42.5
January 15, 2011 Green Bay 48 Atlanta 21 -1.0 43.0
January 9, 2011 Green Bay 21 Philadelphia 16 -2.5 46.5

Can the Atlanta Falcons Cover the Spread?

This season the Atlanta Falcons have played 4 games, averaging 22.5 points per game, while allowing 26.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-0. Let’s have a closer look at recent Atlanta Falcons results.
Recent Atlanta Falcons Results
October 2, 2011 Atlanta 30 Seattle 28 4.5 38.5
September 25, 2011 Atlanta 13 Tampa Bay 16 -1.0 45.0
September 18, 2011 Philadelphia 31 Atlanta 35 2.5 49.5
September 11, 2011 Atlanta 12 Chicago 30 -3.5
January 15, 2011 Green Bay 48 Atlanta 21 -1.0 43.0
January 2, 2011 Carolina 10 Atlanta 31 -14.0 41.0
December 27, 2010 New Orleans 17 Atlanta 14 -2.0 50.0
December 19, 2010 Atlanta 34 Seattle 18 6.0 46.0
December 12, 2010 Atlanta 31 Carolina 10 7.5 42.5
December 5, 2010 Atlanta 28 Tampa Bay 24 2.0 43.5

This season the Atlanta Falcons have played 1 games here at home, averaging 35.0 points per game, while allowing 31.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-0. Let’s have a closer look at recent Atlanta Falcons results when playing at home.
Recent Atlanta Falcons Home Results
September 18, 2011 Philadelphia 31 Atlanta 35 2.5 49.5
January 15, 2011 Green Bay 48 Atlanta 21 -1.0 43.0
January 2, 2011 Carolina 10 Atlanta 31 -14.0 41.0
December 27, 2010 New Orleans 17 Atlanta 14 -2.0 50.0
November 28, 2010 Green Bay 17 Atlanta 20 -1.0 47.0
November 11, 2010 Baltimore 21 Atlanta 26 -1.0 43.5
November 7, 2010 Tampa Bay 21 Atlanta 27 -9.0 45.5
October 24, 2010 Cincinnati 32 Atlanta 39 -3.5 43.5
October 3, 2010 San Francisco 14 Atlanta 16 -6.5 42.5
September 19, 2010 Arizona 7 Atlanta 41 -7.0 43.0