Forget rumors about certain teams lacking that “needed thing” to get them to the Super Bowl. The truth is that most of the Super Bowl betting favorites in the sportsbook have looked nothing short of super so far during this NFL Preseason.

Yes, the scores show one thing and I’m saying another for many of these teams but, trust me, if you really study the stats and really look into the games, the favorites are going to be tough to beat this season with the exception of the Green Bay Packers, Indianapolis Colts and the Minnesota Vikings. They’re the only three teams that I can honestly say are going off at underlaid Super Bowl betting odds to win the silver trophy in February of next year.

Based on the first two NFL Preseason games, a case can be made for every team up to +1200 to win this year’s Super Bowl except the Colts, Vikings and Packers.

Super Bowl Betting Overlays

1.New Orleans Saints +900 – - The offense is in mid-season form, they put up 38 points against the Ravens in their last preseason game, and the defense is rounding into form. Also, I still believe that their schedule is too easy for a Super Bowl defending champ.

2.Baltimore Ravens +1000 - – There’s supposedly all sorts of awful things going on with their defensive backfield yet cornerback LaDarius Webb just got taken off of the PUP (physical unable to perform) list, Fabian Washington played against the Redskins and Chris Carr is getting healthy. The Ravens D’ for all of its issues has still allowed only 15 points in 2 games. That’s the thing. There are holes in the Ravens’ defensive backfield but those should be plugged by the time the season starts and they’re getting by with those holes. They’re a great Super Bowl betting option right now at double-digit odds.

3.Dallas Cowboys +900 – - The offense hasn’t looked great yet but Dallas is working with a new left tackle. They’re being smart about it, giving Doug Free time to develop in the position during the preseason before unleashing their full offensive arsenal. Also, their starting right tackle is hurt but should be ready by the time the season starts. That defense has looked downright daunting. The Cowboys’ D held San Diego to only 7 point in the first half of their last preseason game.

4.San Diego Chargers +900 – - Like the ‘Boys, the Chargers’ offense hasn’t really gotten on track yet, although they did score 25 points against the Chicago Bears in their first NFL preseason game, but that’s to be expected because their starting running back is a rookie, Ryan Matthews. The defense is in mid-season form.

5.New England Patriots +1200 – - The Pats have surprised me at how well their defense has looked so far this season. Maybe, I was wrong in writing them off so early on during the off-season. The D held the Falcons to only 10 points in their second preseason game. Offensively, the Pats have been downright magnetic in two games. They scored 27 against the Saints and 28 against Atlanta.

6.New York Jets +1200 – - The first team defense, even without Darrelle Revis, has been great so far although getting Revis back would really, really help since they’re light in the CB position. QB Mark Sanchez needs to get much sharper before the season starts but he can do it and the rushing game look stellar.

Super Bowl Betting Underlays

Indianapolis Colts +800 – - The Super Bowl betting odds haven’t gone up that high on this team even though their defense has been sort of exposed as unable to stop the run in their two NFL preseason games. The Colts gave up 132 rushing yards to the 49’ers in their first preseason game and then 144 yards to Buffalo in the second game.

Green Bay Packers +1000 - – They look okay, not great, but okay and the defense is brutal. QB Aaron Rodgers has been amazing so far this season, but I’m not sure if he’s going to have the same success against the Vikings’ D as he has against Seattle’s and Cleveland’s. Also, Green Bay has given up a few touchdown passes and both Cleveland and Seattle moved the ball against their defense quite easily in those two games.

Minnesota Vikings +1000 – - Not much can be taken from Brett Favre’s four plays in his first game this season. Patrick Willis did belt him because running back Adrian Peterson forgot a blocking assignment. That’s not good. I still feel that taking less than +1200 odds on the Vikings to win the Super Bowl is tough because they’re relying on a 40-year-old quarterback and they have a tough schedule. At the Super Bowl betting odds, the Vikings are an overlay.

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