Game Date: Saturday, August 27, 2011 | Game Time: 4:00 PM | Home Line: -1.0 | Total: 55.0
Provided by ProCappers.com
The Montreal Alouettes travel to Calgary to play the Stampeders at 4:00 PM on Saturday, August 27, 2011. Calgary is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 55.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let’s have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any CFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Alouettes/Stampeders SeriesDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
October 11, 2010 Calgary 19 Montreal 46 -3.5 56.0
October 1, 2010 Montreal 21 Calgary 46 -3.5 56.5
October 12, 2009 Calgary 11 Montreal 32 -6.0 51.0
July 1, 2009 Montreal 40 Calgary 27 -8.0 53.0
July 1, 2009 Montreal 40 Calgary 27
November 23, 2008 Calgary 22 Montreal 14 -1.0 57.0
July 10, 2008 Calgary 23 Montreal 19
October 27, 2007 Montreal 33 Calgary 32
August 9, 2007 Calgary 18 Montreal 30
August 24, 2006 Calgary 41 Montreal 23
When looking at the last 29 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 15 games compared to 14 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Montreal/Calgary series is 29.8 ppg while the vistor has put up 26.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.1 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 29 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.1 when meassured against the offered line of -1.0, suggesting a wager on Calgary makes the most sense – at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 29 games between the Alouettes and the Stampeders is 56.5 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 55.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let’s take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Montreal as the road team and with Calgary as the home team.
Recent Results when Montreal visits CalgaryDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
October 1, 2010 Montreal 21 Calgary 46 -3.5 56.5
July 1, 2009 Montreal 40 Calgary 27 -8.0 53.0
July 1, 2009 Montreal 40 Calgary 27
October 27, 2007 Montreal 33 Calgary 32
August 12, 2006 Montreal 24 Calgary 27
October 1, 2005 Montreal 32 Calgary 11
June 27, 2004 Montreal 32 Calgary 14
When looking at the last 15 games in this series while Calgary has been the home team, we can see the Stampeders have won 6 games compared to 9 wins for the Alouettes. Average points scored per game by Calgary in this situation is is 27.8 ppg while Montreal has put up 29.1 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.3 favoring the Stampeders.
Unlike most series’, this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 1.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 0.3 when meassured against the offered line of -1.0, suggesting a wager on the Stampeders makes the most sense. At least, that’s the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 15 games between the Alouettes and the Stampeders is 56.9 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 55.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Can the Montreal Alouettes Cover the Spread?
This season the Montreal Alouettes have played 7 games, averaging 31.7 points per game, while allowing 22.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-2. Let’s have a closer look at recent Montreal Alouettes results.
Recent Montreal Alouettes ResultsDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
August 11, 2011 Edmonton 4 Montreal 27 -6.5 54.0
August 4, 2011 Montreal 36 Toronto 23 4.0 52.5
July 29, 2011 Montreal 26 Hamilton 34 3.5 53.0
July 24, 2011 Sask 27 Montreal 24 -11.5 56.0
July 15, 2011 Toronto 17 Montreal 40 -10.5 53.5
July 9, 2011 Montreal 39 Sask 25 3.5 55.0
June 30, 2011 B.C. 26 Montreal 30 -5.5 53.0
This season the Montreal Alouettes have played 3 games on the road, averaging 33.7 points per game, while allowing 27.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-1. Let’s have a closer look at recent Montreal Alouettes results on the road.
Recent Montreal Alouettes Road ResultsDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
August 4, 2011 Montreal 36 Toronto 23 4.0 52.5
July 29, 2011 Montreal 26 Hamilton 34 3.5 53.0
July 9, 2011 Montreal 39 Sask 25 3.5 55.0
October 29, 2010 Montreal 37 Toronto 30 4.5 48.5
October 22, 2010 Montreal 3 Hamilton 40 2.0 53.5
Can the Calgary Stampeders Cover the Spread?
This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 7 games, averaging 27.7 points per game, while allowing 24.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-2. Let’s have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results.
Recent Calgary Stampeders ResultsDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
August 12, 2011 Calgary 45 Sask 35 3.5 49.5
August 6, 2011 Hamilton 20 Calgary 32 -3.5 51.0
July 30, 2011 Calgary 22 Sask 18 2.0 54.5
July 23, 2011 Edmonton 24 Calgary 19 -3.0 55.0
July 14, 2011 Calgary 21 Winnipeg 20 3.0 52.0
July 8, 2011 Calgary 34 B.C. 32 -2.5 54.0
July 1, 2011 Toronto 23 Calgary 21 -7.5 51.0
November 21, 2010 Sask 20 Calgary 16 -7.5 54.5
November 5, 2010 Calgary 35 Winnipeg 32 3.0 53.5
October 29, 2010 Hamilton 24 Calgary 55 -4.0 53.5
This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 3 games here at home, averaging 24.0 points per game, while allowing 22.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-2. Let’s have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results when playing at home.
Recent Calgary Stampeders Home ResultsDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
August 6, 2011 Hamilton 20 Calgary 32 -3.5 51.0
July 23, 2011 Edmonton 24 Calgary 19 -3.0 55.0
July 1, 2011 Toronto 23 Calgary 21 -7.5 51.0
November 21, 2010 Sask 20 Calgary 16 -7.5 54.5
October 29, 2010 Hamilton 24 Calgary 55 -4.0 53.5
October 22, 2010 B.C. 36 Calgary 31 -9.0 55.5
October 1, 2010 Montreal 21 Calgary 46 -3.5 56.5
September 25, 2010 B.C. 29 Calgary 10 -11.0 56.0
September 6, 2010 Edmonton 5 Calgary 52 -12.5 54.0
August 15, 2010 Edmonton 15 Calgary 56 -8.0 52.5







