
Edmonton Eskimos vs Calgary Stampeders
CFL Betting Preview & Picks
Edmonton Eskimos vs Calgary Stampeders
Game Date: Saturday, July 23, 2011 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: -3.5 | Total: 53.0
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff
The Edmonton Eskimos travel to Calgary to play the Stampeders at 7:05 PM on Saturday, July 23, 2011. Calgary is the favorite in this matchup, laying -3.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 53.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let’s have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any CFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Eskimos/Stampeders SeriesDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
September 10, 2010 Calgary 36 Edmonton 20 -7.5 165.0
September 6, 2010 Edmonton 5 Calgary 52 -12.5 54.0
August 15, 2010 Edmonton 15 Calgary 56 -8.0 52.5
November 15, 2009 Edmonton 21 Calgary 24 -6.5 54.0
October 23, 2009 Edmonton 7 Calgary 30 -6.0 55.0
September 11, 2009 Calgary 35 Edmonton 34 -1.0 59.5
September 7, 2009 Edmonton 8 Calgary 32 -7.0 60.5
August 13, 2009 Calgary 35 Edmonton 38 -1.0 59.0
September 5, 2008 Calgary 38 Edmonton 33 -3.5 56.5
September 1, 2008 Edmonton 37 Calgary 16 -2.5
When looking at the last 52 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 33 games compared to 19 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Edmonton/Calgary series is 29.8 ppg while the vistor has put up 22.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 7.2 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 52 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 7.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.7 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on Calgary makes the most sense – at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 52 games between the Eskimos and the Stampeders is 52.4 per game. That creates a differential of 0.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 53.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let’s take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Edmonton as the road team and with Calgary as the home team.
Recent Results when Edmonton visits CalgaryDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
September 6, 2010 Edmonton 5 Calgary 52 -12.5 54.0
August 15, 2010 Edmonton 15 Calgary 56 -8.0 52.5
November 15, 2009 Edmonton 21 Calgary 24 -6.5 54.0
October 23, 2009 Edmonton 7 Calgary 30 -6.0 55.0
September 7, 2009 Edmonton 8 Calgary 32 -7.0 60.5
September 1, 2008 Edmonton 37 Calgary 16 -2.5
June 13, 2008 Edmonton 14 Calgary 39
When looking at the last 27 games in this series while Calgary has been the home team, we can see the Stampeders have won 18 games compared to 9 wins for the Eskimos. Average points scored per game by Calgary in this situation is is 29.5 ppg while Edmonton has put up 20.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 9.2 favoring the Stampeders.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 9.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 5.7 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on the Stampeders makes the most sense. At least, that’s the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 27 games between the Eskimos and the Stampeders is 49.8 per game. That creates a differential of 3.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 53.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Can the Edmonton Eskimos Cover the Spread?
This season the Edmonton Eskimos have played 3 games, averaging 34.3 points per game, while allowing 18.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-0. Let’s have a closer look at recent Edmonton Eskimos results.
Recent Edmonton Eskimos ResultsDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
July 16, 2011 B.C. 17 Edmonton 33 -2.5 54.5
July 9, 2011 Hamilton 10 Edmonton 28 -1.0 52.5
July 3, 2011 Edmonton 42 Sask 28 -6.5 52.0
November 6, 2010 Edmonton 23 Sask 31 -1.5 51.5
October 30, 2010 Winnipeg 13 Edmonton 16 -8.0 50.0
October 23, 2010 Sask 24 Edmonton 39 3.0 51.0
October 16, 2010 Edmonton 31 B.C. 28 -6.0 51.5
This season the Edmonton Eskimos have played 1 games on the road, averaging 42.0 points per game, while allowing 28.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-0. Let’s have a closer look at recent Edmonton Eskimos results on the road.
Recent Edmonton Eskimos Road ResultsDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
July 3, 2011 Edmonton 42 Sask 28 -6.5 52.0
November 6, 2010 Edmonton 23 Sask 31 -1.5 51.5
October 16, 2010 Edmonton 31 B.C. 28 -6.0 51.5
October 8, 2010 Edmonton 11 Hamilton 36 -6.5 52.0
September 26, 2010 Edmonton 24 Toronto 6 -3.5 49.0
Can the Calgary Stampeders Cover the Spread?
This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 3 games, averaging 25.3 points per game, while allowing 25.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-0. Let’s have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results.
Recent Calgary Stampeders ResultsDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
July 14, 2011 Calgary 21 Winnipeg 20 3.0 52.0
July 8, 2011 Calgary 34 B.C. 32 -2.5 54.0
July 1, 2011 Toronto 23 Calgary 21 -7.5 51.0
November 21, 2010 Sask 20 Calgary 16 -7.5 54.5
November 5, 2010 Calgary 35 Winnipeg 32 3.0 53.5
October 29, 2010 Hamilton 24 Calgary 55 -4.0 53.5
October 22, 2010 B.C. 36 Calgary 31 -9.0 55.5
October 17, 2010 Calgary 34 Sask 26 -1.5 57.5
October 11, 2010 Calgary 19 Montreal 46 -3.5 56.0
October 1, 2010 Montreal 21 Calgary 46 -3.5 56.5
This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 1 games here at home, averaging 21.0 points per game, while allowing 23.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 0-1. Let’s have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results when playing at home.
Recent Calgary Stampeders Home ResultsDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
July 1, 2011 Toronto 23 Calgary 21 -7.5 51.0
November 21, 2010 Sask 20 Calgary 16 -7.5 54.5
October 29, 2010 Hamilton 24 Calgary 55 -4.0 53.5
October 22, 2010 B.C. 36 Calgary 31 -9.0 55.5
October 1, 2010 Montreal 21 Calgary 46 -3.5 56.5
September 25, 2010 B.C. 29 Calgary 10 -11.0 56.0
September 6, 2010 Edmonton 5 Calgary 52 -12.5 54.0
August 15, 2010 Edmonton 15 Calgary 56 -8.0 52.5
July 31, 2010 Winnipeg 18 Calgary 23 -6.5 55.5
July 24, 2010 Sask 20 Calgary 40 -2.0 56.0