Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks
Game Date: Thursday, June 9, 2011 | Game Time: 9:00 PM | Home Line: -1.5 | Total: 184.5
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff
The Miami Heat travel to Dallas to play the Mavericks at 9:00 PM on Thursday, June 9, 2011. Dallas is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 184.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let’s have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Heat/Mavericks SeriesDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
June 7, 2011 Miami 83 Dallas 86 -3.0 186.5
June 5, 2011 Miami 88 Dallas 86 -2.5 188.5
June 2, 2011 Dallas 95 Miami 93 -4.5 186.0
May 31, 2011 Dallas 84 Miami 92 -4.5 188.5
December 20, 2010 Dallas 98 Miami 96 -7.0 192.0
November 27, 2010 Miami 95 Dallas 106 -2.5 189.0
February 20, 2010 Miami 91 Dallas 97 -10.0 184.5
December 11, 2009 Dallas 106 Miami 93
December 11, 2009 Dallas 106 Miami 93
April 1, 2009 Miami 96 Dallas 98 -5.5 196.5
When looking at the last 35 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 19 games compared to 16 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Miami/Dallas series is 96.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 95.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.9 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 35 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.9 ppg. That represents a value number of -0.6 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on Miami makes the most sense – at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 35 games between the Heat and the Mavericks is 192.5 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 184.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let’s take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Miami as the road team and with Dallas as the home team.
Recent Results when Miami visits DallasDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
June 7, 2011 Miami 83 Dallas 86 -3.0 186.5
June 5, 2011 Miami 88 Dallas 86 -2.5 188.5
November 27, 2010 Miami 95 Dallas 106 -2.5 189.0
February 20, 2010 Miami 91 Dallas 97 -10.0 184.5
April 1, 2009 Miami 96 Dallas 98 -5.5 196.5
January 4, 2008 Miami 89 Dallas 94
February 22, 2007 Miami 100 Dallas 112
When looking at the last 17 games in this series while Dallas has been the home team, we can see the Mavericks have won 13 games compared to 4 wins for the Heat. Average points scored per game by Dallas in this situation is is 97.7 ppg while Miami has put up 91.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6 favoring the Mavericks.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 6 ppg. That represents a value number of 4.5 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on the Mavericks makes the most sense. At least, that’s the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 17 games between the Heat and the Mavericks is 189.4 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 184.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Can the Miami Heat Cover the Spread?
This season the Miami Heat have played 102 games, averaging 100.2 points per game, while allowing 93.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 73-29. Let’s have a closer look at recent Miami Heat results.
Recent Miami Heat ResultsDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
June 7, 2011 Miami 83 Dallas 86 -3.0 186.5
June 5, 2011 Miami 88 Dallas 86 -2.5 188.5
June 2, 2011 Dallas 95 Miami 93 -4.5 186.0
May 31, 2011 Dallas 84 Miami 92 -4.5 188.5
May 26, 2011 Miami 83 Chicago 80 -3.0 180.0
May 24, 2011 Chicago 93 Miami 101 -5.0 178.5
May 22, 2011 Chicago 85 Miami 96 -4.5 179.0
This season the Miami Heat have played 50 games on the road, averaging 98.5 points per game, while allowing 94.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 33-17. Let’s have a closer look at recent Miami Heat results on the road.
Recent Miami Heat Road ResultsDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
June 7, 2011 Miami 83 Dallas 86 -3.0 186.5
June 5, 2011 Miami 88 Dallas 86 -2.5 188.5
May 26, 2011 Miami 83 Chicago 80 -3.0 180.0
May 18, 2011 Miami 85 Chicago 75 -2.5 181.5
May 15, 2011 Miami 82 Chicago 103 -2.0 180.0
Can the Dallas Mavericks Cover the Spread?
This season the Dallas Mavericks have played 101 games, averaging 99.7 points per game, while allowing 95.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 71-29. Let’s have a closer look at recent Dallas Mavericks results.
Recent Dallas Mavericks ResultsDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
June 7, 2011 Miami 83 Dallas 86 -3.0 186.5
June 5, 2011 Miami 88 Dallas 86 -2.5 188.5
June 2, 2011 Dallas 95 Miami 93 -4.5 186.0
May 31, 2011 Dallas 84 Miami 92 -4.5 188.5
May 25, 2011 Oklahoma City 96 Dallas 100 -6.5 198.5
May 23, 2011 Dallas 112 Oklahoma City 105 -3.5 196.0
May 21, 2011 Dallas 93 Oklahoma City 87 -2.5 200.5
May 19, 2011 Oklahoma City 106 Dallas 100 -5.5 200.0
May 17, 2011 Oklahoma City 112 Dallas 121 -6.0 194.5
May 8, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 86 Dallas 122 -2.0 187.5
This season the Dallas Mavericks have played 51 games here at home, averaging 101.1 points per game, while allowing 94.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 37-14. Let’s have a closer look at recent Dallas Mavericks results when playing at home.
Recent Dallas Mavericks Home ResultsDate AwayTeam Score HomeTeam Score HomeLine Total
June 7, 2011 Miami 83 Dallas 86 -3.0 186.5
June 5, 2011 Miami 88 Dallas 86 -2.5 188.5
May 25, 2011 Oklahoma City 96 Dallas 100 -6.5 198.5
May 19, 2011 Oklahoma City 106 Dallas 100 -5.5 200.0
May 17, 2011 Oklahoma City 112 Dallas 121 -6.0 194.5
May 8, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 86 Dallas 122 -2.0 187.5
May 6, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 92 Dallas 98 -2.0 187.5
April 25, 2011 Portland 82 Dallas 93 -5.0 183.5
April 19, 2011 Portland 89 Dallas 101 -3.5 183.0
April 16, 2011 Portland 81 Dallas 89 -5.0 186.0
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